League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport3 - 0Northampton
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Northampton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Newport
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
29.47% ( -0.01) | 28.73% ( -0.03) | 41.79% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.31% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.1% ( 0.1) | 61.89% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.33% ( 0.08) | 81.66% ( -0.08) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% ( 0.05) | 37.38% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.83% ( 0.05) | 74.16% ( -0.05) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.08) | 29.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.81% ( 0.09) | 65.18% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Newport County 29.47%
Northampton Town 41.78%
Draw 28.72%
| Newport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 29.47% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.78% |
How you voted: Newport vs Northampton
Newport County
0.0%Draw
33.3%Northampton Town
66.7%6
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 2pm
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
