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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Newport County

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Newport

McAtee (36')
Waterfall (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Farquharson (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Newport County

 Seven of Grimsby's 15 home games at Blundell Park have finished in stalemates, with their games against Harrogate Town and Leyton Orient ending goalless and 2-2, respectively, while Newport played out to draws in five of their last 10 games on the road. A tie with both teams finding the back of the net appears to be in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
38.3% (1.7 1.7) 28.13% (-0.232 -0.23) 33.57% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 47.2% (0.52 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (0.714 0.71)58.9% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61% (0.55 0.55)79.39% (-0.55 -0.55)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (1.397 1.4)29.78% (-1.396 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (1.659 1.66)65.85% (-1.659 -1.66)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (-0.60799999999999 -0.61)32.78% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (-0.685 -0.69)69.34% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 38.29%
    Newport County 33.56%
    Draw 28.13%
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.262 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.35 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.224 0.22)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.245 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.378 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Newport

Grimsby Town
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Newport County
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-0
Grimsby Town
Maynard (51')
Bennett (37')

Matete (81')
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Grimsby Town
0-2
Newport

Hendrie (24'), Taylor (52'), Waterfall (66')
Twine (25'), Amond (45+1' pen.)
Willmott (50')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Newport
P-P
Grimsby Town
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
4-2
Newport
Garmston (1'), Benson (40'), Hanson (61'), Wright (84')
Hanson (29')
Green (10'), Amond (68')
Inniss (39'), Labadie (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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