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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
32.47% ( -0.1) | 27.73% ( -0.05) | 39.79% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 48.14% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.39% ( 0.17) | 57.61% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% ( 0.13) | 78.38% ( -0.13) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( 0.02) | 32.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( 0.02) | 69.44% ( -0.02) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( 0.16) | 28.28% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( 0.21) | 64% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 39.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |