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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.7% (![]() | 26.89% (![]() | 35.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.05% (![]() | 53.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% (![]() | 75.39% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% (![]() | 27.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% (![]() | 63.3% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% (![]() | 29.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.98% (![]() | 65.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 10.35% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |