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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Swindon Town

Newport
2 - 1
Swindon

Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Clarke (16'), Farquharson (38'), Norman (60'), Townsend (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adeloye (90+1')
Kadji (42')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Newport
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Gillingham
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
37.7% (1.345 1.35) 26.89% (0.0040000000000013 0) 35.41% (-1.349 -1.35)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)53.94% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.39% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.76900000000001 0.77)27.73% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.977 0.98)63.3% (-0.977 -0.98)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.842 -0.84)29.1% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.051 -1.05)65.02% (1.051 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 37.7%
    Swindon Town 35.41%
    Draw 26.88%
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.175 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.7%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.96% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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