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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
1 - 0
Swindon

Hannant (30')
Ashley (70'), Hannant (74'), Fevrier (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khan (76'), MacDonald (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 0-2 Swindon Town

Considering the form of the two teams and their current positions in the table, Swindon will be regarded as favourites to claim maximum points on New Year's Day. Colchester will be desperate to secure a much-needed victory as they bid to steer themselves clear of the drop zone, but the Robins should have enough quality in their side to get the job done and consolidate their place in the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
30.54% (-0.023 -0.02) 26.22% (0.0030000000000001 0) 43.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)52.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.02% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)31.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)67.9% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 30.54%
    Swindon Town 43.24%
    Draw 26.21%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.54%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.24%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
40.0%
Draw
6.7%
Swindon Town
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Norris (74'), Robinson (85', 89')
Comley (35')
Jaiyesimi (48')
Edmonds-Green (70'), Hunt (73'), Baudry (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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