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Walsall
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Colchester United

Sutton
1 - 0
Colchester

Milsom (45+9' pen.)
Randall (69'), Kizzi (90+5')
Boldewijn (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (18'), Ashley (45+1'), Tchamadeu (69'), Tovide (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Colchester United

With both sides focused very much on caution and limitation as a means to gain results, and with neither side being flushed for goals this season, it is hard to see past the likelihood of a draw this weekend. Randall's potential absence will be a big loss for Sutton in attack, whilst Colchester may find a draw away from home to be worth grinding out for at Gander Green Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
50.22% (0.276 0.28) 27.1% (-0.101 -0.1) 22.68% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 43.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.199 0.2)60.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.151 0.15)80.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.215 0.22)24.18% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.305 0.31)58.51% (-0.303 -0.3)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.54% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)42.47% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)78.84% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 50.2%
    Colchester United 22.68%
    Draw 27.1%
Sutton UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.68%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-2
Colchester
Olaofe (9', 64'), Randall (90+2')
Smith (45+2'), Eastmond (57')
Edwards (3'), Sears (44' pen.)
Dallison (21'), Sears (59'), Huws (75'), Smith (77')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Sutton
2-1
Colchester
Turner (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Kizzi (57')
Sears (45')
Dobra (34'), Coxe (57'), Sarpong-Wiredu (57')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-3
Sutton
Sears (2')
Hannant (5'), Smith (57'), Chilvers (82')
Tovide (27')
Ajiboye (12'), Milsom (28' pen.), Goodliffe (61')
Goodliffe (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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20-15
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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