League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Akinde (51' pen.)
Chambers (11'), Tovide (36'), Akinde (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Davison (67'), Chislett (89')
Currie (23'), Tzanev (51'), (58')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Colchester United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Colchester
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Newport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Colchester United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

At the risk of plying their trade outside of the Football League for the first time since 1992, former Colchester City player Johnnie Jackson could once again return to haunt his former employers, as Wimbledon take another step towards an immediate return to League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
42.8% ( 0.15)	27.42% ( 0.03)	29.78% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 48.07% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76% (

-0.16)

57.24% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

-0.13)

78.09% (

0.13)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53% (

0.01)

26.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35% (

0.01)

61.65% (

-0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37% (

-0.22)

34.63% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65% (

-0.23)

71.35% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 42.8%

AFC Wimbledon 29.78%

Draw 27.42%

Colchester United	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.8%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.78%