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FA Cup
AFC Wimbledon
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Chesterfield

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Chesterfield


Chislett (36'), Ogundere (44'), Kalambayi (53'), Senior (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dobra (44'), King (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Chesterfield

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Solihull
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Chesterfield

 Wimbledon have a lot of quality in their squad, and the likes of Pell, Assal and Chislett represent the cutting edge that Jackson has at his disposal. However, Cook is an experienced coach with a lot of confidence in his side's ability to grind out results. Wimbledon's counter-attacking thrust will likely be anticipated by Chesterfield, and Cook's approach will likely cancel out both sides' ability to gain a definitive result at Plough Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawChesterfield
31.76% (-0.041 -0.04) 25.72% (0.0040000000000013 0) 42.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)49.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.032 -0.03)71.82% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)29.41% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.4% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 31.76%
    Chesterfield 42.52%
    Draw 25.71%
AFC WimbledonDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.76%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 42.52%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Chesterfield

AFC Wimbledon
46.5%
Draw
39.4%
Chesterfield
14.1%
71
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Nolan (29'), Hird (77')

Charles (66'), Francomb (92')
Sep 3, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-1
Chesterfield
Robinson (53'), Poleon (91')
Elliott (78')
Charles (35' og.)
Evans (95')
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Chesterfield
Francomb (50')
Francomb (52'), Morris (80')
Banks (55')
Doyle (41')
Sep 14, 2013 3pm
Chesterfield
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Roberts (30'), Hird (53')
Gnanduillet (95')

Bennett (85'), Pell (95')
Feb 9, 2013 3pm
Chesterfield
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Lester (83'), Gnanduillet (59')
Lester (34'), O'Shea (73')

Fenlon (38'), Sweeney (57'), Ajala (78')
rhs 2.0
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