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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
54.11% ( -0.24) | 24.47% ( 0.02) | 21.42% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.05% ( 0.15) | 51.95% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.3% ( 0.13) | 73.69% ( -0.14) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( -0.03) | 19.13% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( -0.06) | 50.76% ( 0.05) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61% ( 0.31) | 39% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.27% ( 0.29) | 75.72% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 12.33% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 54.1% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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