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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Harrogate Town |
49.88% ( -0.03) | 26.73% ( -0) | 23.4% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.32% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.57% ( 0.02) | 58.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.97% ( 0.02) | 79.03% ( -0.02) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% ( -0) | 23.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.39% ( -0) | 57.61% ( 0) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.28% ( 0.04) | 40.73% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% ( 0.04) | 77.31% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.53% Total : 49.86% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |