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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Harrogate Town

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 2
Harrogate

Kalambayi (39'), Senior (84'), Davison (88')
Currie (72'), Hudlin (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Daly (48'), McArdle (65')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
49.88% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 26.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.4% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.57% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.020999999999997 0.02)79.03% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)57.61% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (0.042999999999999 0.04)40.73% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (0.038 0.04)77.31% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.86%
    Harrogate Town 23.4%
    Draw 26.72%
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 49.86%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.4%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Grimsby Town7304912-39
13Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood52216518
15Salford City622246-28
16Tranmere RoversTranmere622237-48
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe601538-51


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