MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:37:10| >> :600:93994:93994:
Harrogate Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
CNG Stadium
Morecambe

Harrogate
2 - 1
Morecambe

O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Major (2')
Smith (53')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Harrogate Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMorecambe
41.46% (0.774 0.77) 25.97% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 32.57% (-0.698 -0.7)
Both teams to score 53.62% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (0.152 0.15)50.64% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (0.133 0.13)72.55% (-0.137 -0.14)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.46299999999999 0.46)24.18% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (0.656 0.66)58.5% (-0.659 -0.66)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.377 -0.38)29.28% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.465 -0.46)65.24% (0.461 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 41.46%
    Morecambe 32.57%
    Draw 25.97%
Harrogate TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.05% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.57%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-0
Harrogate
Wildig (56')
Wildig (84'), Halstead (89')
rhs 2.0
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