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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Morecambe

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Morecambe

FT(HT: 1-0)
Delaney (77')
Connolly (23'), Shaw (25'), Delaney (78'), Fane (79'), Rawson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 3-1 Morecambe

Burton should have confidence after last weekend's result, which would give them the edge against a Morecambe side devoid of it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
46.29% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 25.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 28.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.26% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)21.71% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.032999999999994 0.03)54.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 46.28%
    Morecambe 28.27%
    Draw 25.44%
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Morecambe

Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Morecambe
O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Burton Albion
4-0
Morecambe
Boyce (34', 45', 74'), Edwards (51')
Daniel (19')

Brewitt (58')
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Burton Albion
Hughes (90')
Kenyon (8'), Ellison (40'), Arestidou (60')
Akins (30', 60')
Edwards (87')
Oct 18, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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