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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Morecambe

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Morecambe

Keillor-Dunn (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Delaney (77')
Connolly (23'), Shaw (25'), Delaney (78'), Fane (79'), Rawson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 3-1 Morecambe

 Burton should have confidence after last weekend's result, which would give them the edge against a Morecambe side devoid of it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
46.29% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 25.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 28.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.26% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)21.71% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.032999999999994 0.03)54.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 46.28%
    Morecambe 28.27%
    Draw 25.44%
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Morecambe

Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
3-0
Burton Albion
Gnahoua (41'), Phillips (45+5'), Stockton (46')
Connolly (28')

Oshilaja (71')
Shaughnessy (43')
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Morecambe
O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Burton Albion
4-0
Morecambe
Boyce (34', 45', 74'), Edwards (51')
Daniel (19')

Brewitt (58')
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Burton Albion
Hughes (90')
Kenyon (8'), Ellison (40'), Arestidou (60')
Akins (30', 60')
Edwards (87')
Oct 18, 2014 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Morecambe
Ellison (59'), Kenyon (61')
Fleming (56'), Barkhuizen (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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