Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.