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[monks data]
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Morecambe

Burton Albion
3 - 2
Morecambe

O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')

Preview: Burton Albion vs. Morecambe - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Burton Albion play host to Morecambe on Friday evening looking to reclaim a spot in the League One playoffs after a poor run of form.

However, the Brewers head into this contest sitting just two points ahead of the visitors, who possess one of the best attacking records in the division.


Match preview

Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink, now in charge of Burton Albion, pictured in January, 2021© Reuters

At one point this season, Burton had the opportunity to move to the top of the League One table, a sign that everything was heading in the right direction under Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink.

However, the Brewers have lost all momentum, recording just one victory in nine third-tier fixtures and dropping down into 10th position.

Hasselbaink will argue that Burton have improved over the past three games, their sole defeat coming by a 2-1 scoreline away at leaders Plymouth Argyle.

Nevertheless, Burton need another three points and more goals as soon as possible if they want to remain in the playoff mix.

On a positive note, six of their 11 league strikes have come in their last four outings, but only two players have netted more than once in League One.

As far as Morecambe are concerned, they were expected to feature at the wrong end of the table after earning promotion to the third tier for the first time in their history.

However, Stephen Robinson's side have recently collected seven points from a possible 12, their sole setback coming in a seven-goal thriller away at Wycombe Wanderers.

Robinson was left bitterly disappointed after blowing a lead at Adams Park, but his Shrimps side should only continue to improve as the season progresses.

Although they are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home, the form of nine-goal frontman Cole Stockton means that they will always have a chance at this level.

Burton Albion League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Burton Albion form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Morecambe League One form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Morecambe form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Motherwell manager Stephen Robinson pictured in April 2018© Reuters

Sheffield United loanee Daniel Jebbison is likely to start for Burton with Kane Hemmings suffering a hamstring injury last time out.

Versatile playmaker Harry Chapman could also return to the Brewers XI, potentially at the expense of Jonny Smith.

John Brayford is a long-term injury absentee after sustaining a hamstring injury earlier this month.

Having made widespread changes for the EFL Trophy fixture at Hartlepool United, Robinson should revert back to the team which started versus Wycombe.

Jonah Ayunga scored his first goal of the season as a substitute, but the forward is unlikely to come into starting lineup.

Ryan Cooney is an alternative to Ryan McLaughlin at right-back.

Burton Albion possible starting lineup:
Garratt; Hamer, Shaughnessy, Leak, Borthwick-Jackson; Oshilaja, O'Connor; Akins, Lakin, Chapman; Jebbison

Morecambe possible starting lineup:
Letheren; McLaughlin, O'Connor, Wootton, Delaney, Gibson; McCalmont, Diagouraga, Phillips; Gnahoua, Stockton


SM words green background

We say: Burton Albion 2-2 Morecambe

With both teams having suffered a defeat last time out, there will be an eagerness about making amends. We feel that extra desire should make for an entertaining encounter, one which could end in a high-scoring share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Morecambe

Burton Albion
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Morecambe
10.0%
40
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