MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 20:29:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Watford

Peart-Harris (35')
Grimes (40'), Franco (44'), Peart-Harris (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ebosele (26'), Sierralta (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-6 Watford
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Watford

The visitors have enjoyed the much better beginning to the 2024-25 campaign, and despite Swansea boasting the home advantage, we believe Watford will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
51.05% (0.052 0.05) 24.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.8% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.044999999999995 0.04)46.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.01% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)49.43% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.05%
    Watford 24.91%
    Draw 24.03%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
Draw
Watford
Swansea City
19.5%
Draw
18.4%
Watford
62.1%
87
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!