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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Watford

Peart-Harris (35')
Grimes (40'), Franco (44'), Peart-Harris (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ebosele (26'), Sierralta (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-6 Watford
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Watford

The visitors have enjoyed the much better beginning to the 2024-25 campaign, and despite Swansea boasting the home advantage, we believe Watford will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
51.05% (0.052 0.05) 24.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.8% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.044999999999995 0.04)46.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.01% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)49.43% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.05%
    Watford 24.91%
    Draw 24.03%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
19.5%
Draw
18.4%
Watford
62.1%
87
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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