MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:59:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 2
Swansea

Sarr (34')
Louza (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67'), Darling (90+14'), Fulton (90+16'), Latibeaudiere (90+17'), Wood (90+18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City

Despite their emphatic victory on Sunday, Watford now go up against a team who can claim to be a side very much on the up. Nevertheless, we still feel that the Hornets will do enough to get another three points on the board, giving the board further satisfaction after their decision to make a change in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.33% (-0.565 -0.56) 25.2% (0.245 0.24) 24.47% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.415 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (-0.707 -0.71)51.92% (0.706 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (-0.615 -0.61)73.67% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.517 -0.52)20.64% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.822 -0.82)53.21% (0.82 0.82)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)36.1% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.108 -0.11)72.88% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.32%
    Swansea City 24.47%
    Draw 25.19%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.47%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
78.4%
Draw
15.7%
Swansea City
5.9%
51
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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