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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Hull City | 7 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Rotherham United | 6 | 3 | 9 |
13 | West Bromwich Albion | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Norwich City | 7 | 3 | 13 |
4 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Blackburn Rovers | 7 | -1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Watford |
46.02% ( 0.73) | 25.13% ( -0.34) | 28.85% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 54.56% ( 0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.39% ( 1.25) | 48.6% ( -1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.28% ( 1.13) | 70.72% ( -1.13) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.85% ( 0.85) | 21.14% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46% ( 1.3) | 53.99% ( -1.3) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( 0.36) | 30.81% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% ( 0.43) | 67.09% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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