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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Watford logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Watford

Hall (19')
Sanderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sema (63')
Choudhury (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Watford

Birmingham have been quite resolute so far, conceding only two goals in three league games, but faced by a well-stocked Watford attack, they may not be able to hold out on Tuesday: the visitors' abundance of options up front will tip the result in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
24.89% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.97% (0.0010000000000012 0) 49.14% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)37.17% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.89%
    Watford 49.13%
    Draw 25.96%
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.89%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 12.42%
0-2 @ 9.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.63%
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.13%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Watford

Birmingham City
Draw
Watford
Birmingham City
17.8%
Draw
15.3%
Watford
66.9%
163
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
0-1
Watford

Kieftenbeld (15'), Pedersen (57')
Pedersen (84')
Deeney (85' pen.)
Capoue (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
6Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
7Bristol City37131594740754
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich371213125952749
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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