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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Watford |
29.02% | 28.21% | 42.77% |
Both teams to score 45.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.68% | 60.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.52% | 80.48% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.13% | 36.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.34% | 73.66% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% | 27.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% | 63.55% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.02% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 13.13% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-3 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |