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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
AZ Alkmaar

Sparta
1 - 2
AZ

Lauritsen (16')
Bakari (45+2'), Eerdhuijzen (90+2'), Clement (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koopmeiners (9'), Mijnans (73')
Mijnans (47'), Kwakman (59'), Poku (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 1-0 Sparta
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Willem II
Sunday, November 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ have had the upper hand in this fixture of late and will fancy their chances of securing a much-needed triumph this weekend.   While we expect Sparta to give a good account of themselves, we just about fancy the visitors to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
36.48% (0.065000000000005 0.07) 25.56% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 37.95% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.74% (-0.312 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76% (-0.399 -0.4)48.24% (0.399 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (-0.366 -0.37)70.39% (0.366 0.37)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)25.74% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (-0.204 -0.2)60.67% (0.203 0.2)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.267 -0.27)24.93% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.371 -0.37)59.56% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 36.48%
    AZ Alkmaar 37.95%
    Draw 25.56%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.95%

How you voted: Sparta vs AZ

Sparta Rotterdam
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
AZ Alkmaar
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 24
Sparta
1-1
AZ
Sugawara (25')
Clasie (38'), Belic (77')
Sep 17, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
AZ
2-0
Sparta
De Wit (18'), Pavlidis (19')

Verschueren (38'), Bakari (43'), van der Kust (81')
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
0-1
Sparta
Lauritsen (45+1')
Aug 14, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sparta
2-3
AZ
Van Crooij (1', 59')
Verschueren (36'), van Crooij (38'), Steijn (90+1')
Pavlidis (45+1' pen.), De Wit (57'), Milos (65')
Martins Indi (38'), de Wit (38')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sparta
1-1
AZ
Van Crooij (90+3')
Pavlidis (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Broncos
27-34
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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