Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
46.43% ( -0.05) | 21.4% ( 0.01) | 32.17% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 70.05% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.87% ( -0.02) | 29.13% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.86% ( -0.02) | 50.13% ( 0.02) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.61% ( -0.02) | 13.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.7% ( -0.05) | 40.3% ( 0.04) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( 0.01) | 19.12% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.25% ( 0.02) | 50.75% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.36% Total : 32.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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