Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.