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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Oct 29, 2022 at 9.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Sydney FC

Macarthur
2 - 3
Sydney FC

Millar (16'), Carter (87')
Aspropotamitis (37')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Wood (14'), Mak (45+1'), Segecic (83')
Yazbek (25'), Wood (57'), Retre (81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Macarthur
Friday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 23 at 5am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawSydney FC
24.83% (-0.72 -0.72) 22.67% (-0.116 -0.12) 52.49% (0.838 0.84)
Both teams to score 59.32% (-0.369 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28% (-0.141 -0.14)40.72% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89% (-0.146 -0.15)63.11% (0.147 0.15)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (-0.637 -0.64)29.73% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (-0.778 -0.78)65.79% (0.78099999999999 0.78)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.23999999999999 0.24)15.58% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (0.44 0.44)44.55% (-0.438 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 24.84%
    Sydney FC 52.49%
    Draw 22.67%
MacarthurDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 24.84%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.61% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 8% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 6.02% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.8% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.31% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.04% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 52.49%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
Sydney FC
2-2
Macarthur
Buhagiar (39'), Susnjar (53' og.)
Heward-Belle (7'), Caceres (43'), Warland (71'), Donachie (82')
Davila (8' pen.), Susnjar (26')
McGing (50'), Meredith (73'), Hollman (75')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
Macarthur
0-3
Sydney FC
Wood (11'), Burgess (29'), Buhagiar (59')
Van Der Saag (71')
Nov 27, 2021 8.45am
Sydney FC
0-1
Macarthur

le Fondre (73'), Caceres (79')
Rose (17')
Susnjar (68'), Rose (79'), Uskok (87'), Najjar (90+5')
Feb 28, 2021 5.05am
Sydney FC
0-1
Macarthur

Van Der Saag (90+1')
Retre (39')
Derbyshire (36')
Golec (24'), Martis (47')
Jan 30, 2021 8.10am
Macarthur
0-3
Sydney FC

Derbyshire (34'), Franjic (63'), Jovanovic (64')
Milligan (21')
Wood (66', 86'), Ninkovic (76')
Brattan (54'), Baumjohann (67')
rhs 2.0
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