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Adelaide United
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 8, 2022 at 9.45am UK
Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Sydney FC
2 - 3
Victory

Mak (15'), Donachie (79')
Brattan (21'), Wood (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
D'Agostino (31'), Ikonomidis (67'), Brillante (83')
Marchan (56'), Brillante (58')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-4 Man Utd
Friday, July 15 at 11.05am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
39.06% (0.311 0.31) 24.64% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 36.29% (-0.341 -0.34)
Both teams to score 59.01% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (-0.174 -0.17)44.03% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (-0.171 -0.17)66.41% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.079999999999998 0.08)22.46% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.116 0.12)56% (-0.114 -0.11)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)23.9% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (-0.379 -0.38)58.11% (0.382 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 39.06%
    Melbourne Victory 36.3%
    Draw 24.64%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.06%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 36.3%

Head to Head
May 7, 2022 10.45am
Sydney FC
1-4
Victory
Le Fondre (16')
Retre (28'), Yazbek (77')
D'Agostino (14'), Brimmer (30'), Geria (38'), Hamill (87')
Marchan (69')
Jan 25, 2022 8.45am
Victory
2-2
Sydney FC
Folami (17'), Kruse (77')
Kelava (82')
Ninkovic (37'), Bobo (81')
Bobo (90+4'), Amini (90+8')
May 19, 2021 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-0
Victory
Bobo (10'), Barbarouses (83')
Brattan (30')

Brimmer (45'), Folami (46'), Barnett (90+3')
Apr 27, 2021 10.35am
Sydney FC
1-0
Victory
Bobo (6')

Folami (83'), Barnett (86')
Apr 4, 2021 10.05am
Victory
0-3
Sydney FC

Kamsoba (14')
Kamsoba (32')
Bobo (42'), Barbarouses (50'), Baumjohann (84' pen.)
McGowan (63')
rhs 2.0
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