Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Apr 6, 2022 at 10.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
4 - 0
Sydney FC

Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
51.01%	23.76%	25.23%

Both teams to score 56.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74%

45.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4%

67.6%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22%

17.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51%

48.49%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15%

31.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71%

68.28%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 51.01%

Sydney FC 25.23%

Draw 23.76%

Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.65% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.23%