MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 14:05:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Pask (50'), Davies (65'), Redmond (89')
Oteh (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Crole (27', 31')
Kircough (56'), Wood (86'), Borge (90+1'), Owen (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Briton Ferry 3-1 New Saints
Wednesday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-1 Flint Town
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
62.13% (0.723 0.72) 20.16% (-0.114 -0.11) 17.71% (-0.611 -0.61)
Both teams to score 57.09% (-0.849 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (-0.536 -0.54)38.6% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (-0.567 -0.57)60.89% (0.565 0.56)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (0.035999999999987 0.04)11.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.71% (0.079999999999998 0.08)37.29% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (-0.991 -0.99)35.18% (0.989 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (-1.048 -1.05)71.93% (1.046 1.05)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 62.13%
    Pen-y-Bont 17.71%
    Draw 20.16%
The New SaintsDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.266 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 62.13%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 17.71%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
New Saints
Green (13'), Venables (85')
Kircough (27'), Harling (69'), Reffell (72')
Wilson (44')
Smith (23')
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
New Saints
3-0
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (1'), Pask (81'), McManus (88')
Redmond (36'), Baker (60'), Davies (90')

Brown (45+1'), Reffell (61'), Davies (70')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-5
New Saints
Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Wood (81' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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