Pen-y-Bont

2 - 5

New Saints

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.51%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.