Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Scotland
0 - 1
Hungary

McTominay (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Csoboth (90+10')
Styles (18'), Orban (26'), Schafer (44'), Kleinheisler (75'), Csoboth (90+11')

Steve Clarke says Scotland "100%" should have had a penalty in defeat to Hungary

Scotland manager Steve Clarke is left aghast after the Tartan Army were not awarded a penalty during their 1-0 defeat to Hungary at Euro 2024 on Sunday night.

Jun 23, 23:01

Hungary's Barnabas Varga in action on June 23, 2024 [IMAGO]

Hungary FA issue Barnabas Varga update after disturbing collision in Euro 2024 win

Hungary issue an update on the wellbeing of striker Barnabas Varga, who was carried off on a stretcher following a worrying collision with Scotland's Angus Gunn in Sunday's Euro 2024 win in Stuttgart.

Jun 23, 23:26

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Scotland 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, June 19 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	2	6	6
2	Switzerland	2	2	4
3	Scotland	2	-4	1
4	Hungary	2	-4	0

Hungary

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Germany 2-0 Hungary
Wednesday, June 19 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	2	6	6
2	Switzerland	2	2	4
3	Scotland	2	-4	1
4	Hungary	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Scotland win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Hungary
30.3% ( 0.58)	24.25% ( -0.06)	45.45% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.02% (

0.57)

43.98% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64% (

0.55)

66.36% (

-0.55)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.67)

27.46% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

0.86)

62.95% (

-0.86)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.49% (

0.01)

19.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.61% (

0.01)

51.39% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Scotland 30.3%

Hungary 45.45%

Draw 24.25%

Scotland	Draw	Hungary
2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.3%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.45%