European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Germany5 - 1Scotland
Reaction
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The Match
Player Ratings
Sports Mole provides player ratings from Germany's clash with Scotland at Euro 2024, including two nines for the hosts and a three for the Scots.
Analysis
Sports Mole analyses Germany's 5-1 demolition of Scotland at Euro 2024, including highlights, man of the match and stats.
Match Report
Germany kick off Euro 2024 with a comprehensive 5-1 thrashing of 10-man Scotland in Group A, a new record margin for an opening win at the tournament.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship clash between Germany and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 Group A clash with Scotland.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Greece
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Scotland 2-2 Finland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Scotland |
62% ( -0.55) | 19.83% ( 0.14) | 18.17% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.82% ( 0.07) | 36.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.71% ( 0.07) | 58.29% ( -0.07) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.76% ( -0.12) | 11.24% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.2% ( -0.27) | 35.8% ( 0.27) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( 0.49) | 33.21% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.18% ( 0.53) | 69.82% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
Germany 62%
Scotland 18.17%
Draw 19.83%
| Germany | Draw | Scotland |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 62% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.83% | 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.17% |
How you voted: Germany vs Scotland
Germany
79.6%Draw
10.3%Scotland
10.1%1008
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Scotland
2-3
Germany
Form Guide
Build-up
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How Germany could line up against Scotland
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 Group A clash with Scotland.
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