MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 16:39:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
0 - 0
New Saints


Disney (60')
FT

Redmond (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Bala Town
Monday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
18.19% (-1.563 -1.56) 24.08% (-0.394 -0.39) 57.73% (1.956 1.96)
Both teams to score 45.59% (-1.36 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.63% (-0.48 -0.48)54.37% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.401 -0.4)75.74% (0.401 0.4)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (-2.078 -2.08)43.95% (2.077 2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91% (-1.758 -1.76)80.09% (1.758 1.76)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (0.56399999999999 0.56)18.66% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (0.935 0.94)49.99% (-0.936 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 18.19%
    The New Saints 57.72%
    Draw 24.08%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-1 @ 4.65% (-0.377 -0.38)
2-0 @ 2.77% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 1.28% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 18.19%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.241 -0.24)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 13.77% (0.5 0.5)
0-2 @ 11.55% (0.61 0.61)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.451 0.45)
1-3 @ 5.32% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.234 0.23)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 57.72%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
1-1
New Saints
Horan (50')
Dafydd (90+5')
Pask (26')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
2-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (42'), Routledge (80')
Davies (78'), Clark (86')
Wilde (39')
Stratulis (21'), Horan (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-3
New Saints

Bradley (44')
Robles (56', 72'), Astles (70')
Davies (77')
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
3-1
Connah's Quay
McManus (12', 49' pen.), Clark (27')
Redmond (68'), Robles (77')
Disney (47' pen.)
Disney (17'), Holmes (49')
Oct 9, 2021 12.45pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
New Saints

Horan (25'), Disney (49'), Mullan (59')
Horan (89')
McManus (58' pen.)
Davies (18'), Cieslewicz (81'), McManus (82'), Robles (86')
Davies (89')
rhs 2.0
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