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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 

New Saints
3 - 1
Connah's Quay

McManus (12', 49' pen.), Clark (27')
Redmond (68'), Robles (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Disney (47' pen.)
Disney (17'), Holmes (49')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
57.74%22.91%19.34%
Both teams to score 50.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76%48.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61%70.39%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57%16.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.89%46.11%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95%39.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23%75.77%
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 57.73%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 19.34%
    Draw 22.9%
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 5.92%
4-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 1.26%
5-0 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 57.73%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-2 @ 2.84%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.34%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 12.45pm
Gameweek 8
Connah's Quay
0-1
New Saints

Horan (25'), Disney (49'), Mullan (59')
Horan (89')
McManus (58' pen.)
Davies (18'), Cieslewicz (81'), McManus (82'), Robles (86')
Davies (89')
May 1, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
0-0
New Saints
Horan (33'), Insall (75')
Davies (48'), Routledge (48'), Redmond (90+2')
Redmond (90+3')
Apr 24, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-4
Connah's Quay
Brobbel (24')
Redmond (32'), Spender (35'), Cieslewicz (90+5')
Wilde (8', 30', 45'), Insall (58')
Horan (25'), Poole (34')
Dec 12, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
2-0
New Saints
Edwards (58'), Wilde (64')
Morris (15'), Wilde (34'), Farquharson (52'), Disney (83'), Curran (89')

Routledge (33'), Holland (43'), Redmond (83')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Connah's Quay
Robles (42')
Astles (51'), Robles (90+3'), Draper (90+6')

(21'), (35'), (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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