Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
New Saints3 - 1Connah's Quay
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 57.74% | 22.91% | 19.34% |
| Both teams to score 50.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% | 48.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% | 70.39% |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.57% | 16.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.89% | 46.11% |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.95% | 39.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.23% | 75.77% |
| Score Analysis |
The New Saints 57.73%
Connah's Quay Nomads 19.34%
Draw 22.9%
| The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 5.92% 4-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.08% Total : 57.73% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.34% |
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-4
Connah's Quay
Dec 12, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
Connah's Quay
2-0
New Saints
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Connah's Quay
Robles (42')
Astles (51'), Robles (90+3'), Draper (90+6')
Astles (51'), Robles (90+3'), Draper (90+6')
(21'), (35'), (89')
Form Guide
