Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
