Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.