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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 1
Barry

Wilde (11'), Poole (37'), Edwards (70')
Horan (22'), Farquharson (33'), Morris (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cotterill (9')
Jarvis (33'), Green (43')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 15.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBarry Town United
63.55%21%15.44%
Both teams to score 49.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46%46.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18%68.82%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02%13.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52%41.48%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.23%42.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.9%79.1%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 63.54%
    Barry Town United 15.44%
    Draw 21%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 6.45%
4-0 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.74%
5-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 63.54%
1-1 @ 9.99%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21%
0-1 @ 5.08%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 1.2%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.44%

Head to Head
Oct 17, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
0-0
Connah's Quay
Green (16'), Cooper (75')
(90+5')
Edwards (54'), (85')
Disney (3')
Mar 21, 2020 5.15pm
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Barry
0-1
Connah's Quay

Cotterill (45'), (90')
McLaggon (41')
Wilde (4')
Farquharson (35'), Morris (69'), (90')
Jan 11, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Connah's Quay
2-0
Barry
Insall (90'), Poole (93')
Owen (70')
Nov 9, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Barry
0-4
Connah's Quay

Hood (28'), Spence (42'), Green (45')
Hood (29')
Wilde (21', 45'), Insall (36', 55')
Wilde (25'), Dool (35'), Morris (44'), Bakare (48'), Harrison (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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