Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 10.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.