Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.