Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for York City has a probability of 34.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest York City win is 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.62%).
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
40.97% ( 0.01) | 24.82% ( 0.05) | 34.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.82% ( -0.23) | 45.18% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( -0.22) | 67.53% ( 0.22) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.98% ( -0.09) | 22.03% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.65% ( -0.14) | 55.35% ( 0.15) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.39% ( -0.14) | 25.62% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.5% ( -0.19) | 60.51% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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