Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Boston United |
54.92% ( 0.39) | 24.57% ( 0.03) | 20.51% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 47.79% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.65% ( -0.6) | 53.35% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.11% ( -0.51) | 74.89% ( 0.51) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( -0.08) | 19.35% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% ( -0.13) | 51.13% ( 0.13) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.26% ( -0.79) | 40.74% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.68% ( -0.71) | 77.32% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Boston United |
1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 54.91% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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