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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

AC Milan
0 - 0
Genoa

FT

Vogliacco (22'), Zanoli (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Red Star
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 0-0 Torino
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa

Although Genoa have shown signs of improvement, they still lack options across the final third, meaning Milan can continue their trend of keeping Serie A clean sheets at San Siro. The hosts are not all singing from the same hymn sheet - and their coach is apparently treading on thin ice - but they possess enough nous to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
75.03% (0.262 0.26) 15.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9.19% (-0.255 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-1.109 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.856 -0.86)38.76% (0.85899999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.90900000000001 -0.91)61.07% (0.911 0.91)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (-0.149 -0.15)8.76% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.91% (-0.36500000000001 -0.37)30.09% (0.367 0.37)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.71% (-1.129 -1.13)48.29% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.56% (-0.833 -0.83)83.44% (0.83499999999999 0.83)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 75%
    Genoa 9.19%
    Draw 15.78%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.33 0.33)
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.335 0.33)
3-0 @ 10.17% (0.191 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 6.2% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.51% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
5-0 @ 3.02% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.087 -0.09)
6-0 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 75%
1-1 @ 7.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.78%
0-1 @ 3.08% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 9.19%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
84.1%
Draw
11.6%
Genoa
4.3%
69
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 35
AC Milan
3-3
Genoa
Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')
Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan

Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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