Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
75.03% ( 0.26) | 15.78% ( -0) | 9.19% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 47.18% ( -1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.24% ( -0.86) | 38.76% ( 0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.93% ( -0.91) | 61.07% ( 0.91) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.24% ( -0.15) | 8.76% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.91% ( -0.37) | 30.09% ( 0.37) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.71% ( -1.13) | 48.29% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.56% ( -0.83) | 83.44% ( 0.83) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 75% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.78% | 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 9.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |