Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 3
Genoa

Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-0 AC Milan
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Genoa

As Milan's momentum has been lost - and several players will be absent - plucky Genoa can capitalise by extending their hosts' winless streak and taking a point back home to Liguria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
57.32% ( -0.7)	23.12% ( 0.44)	19.56% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.17% (

-1.45)

48.83% (

1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.07% (

-1.33)

70.93% (

1.33)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21% (

-0.76)

16.79% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25% (

-1.36)

46.75% (

1.36)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83% (

-0.55)

39.16% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12% (

-0.52)

75.88% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 57.31%

Genoa 19.56%

Draw 23.12%

AC Milan	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.98% Total : 57.31%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.12%	0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 19.56%