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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

AC Milan
3 - 3
Genoa

Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Genoa

As Milan's momentum has been lost - and several players will be absent - plucky Genoa can capitalise by extending their hosts' winless streak and taking a point back home to Liguria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
57.32% (-0.705 -0.7) 23.12% (0.436 0.44) 19.56% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (-1.451 -1.45)48.83% (1.449 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-1.331 -1.33)70.93% (1.328 1.33)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.756 -0.76)16.79% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.362 -1.36)46.75% (1.358 1.36)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.553 -0.55)39.16% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.521 -0.52)75.88% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 57.31%
    Genoa 19.56%
    Draw 23.12%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
82.7%
Draw
11.2%
Genoa
6.1%
98
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan

Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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