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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Milan logo

Sassuolo
3 - 3
AC Milan

Pinamonti (4'), Lauriente (10', 53')
Marco Ferrari (19'), Ruan (57'), Thiaw (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leao (20'), Jovic (59'), Okafor (84')
Pinamonti (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 AC Milan

After being shut out for the first time in 30 games, Milan should be back on the scoresheet against one of Serie A's leakiest defences. It would constitute an upset for this Sassuolo side to stop the Rossoneri leaving Reggio Emilia with maximum points, and such a feat is likely to prove beyond them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
24.72% (-0.587 -0.59) 23.21% (0.064 0.06) 52.06% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.856 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.845 -0.84)43.28% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (-0.837 -0.84)65.68% (0.831 0.83)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.926 -0.93)31.19% (0.919 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-1.09 -1.09)67.53% (1.083 1.08)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (-0.127 -0.13)16.66% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.48% (-0.222 -0.22)46.52% (0.215 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 24.72%
    AC Milan 52.06%
    Draw 23.21%
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.72%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.303 0.3)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.239 0.24)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.99% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.06%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs AC Milan

Sassuolo
11.7%
Draw
17.0%
AC Milan
71.3%
94
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 5pm
Jan 29, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Giroud (24'), Origi (81')
Defrel (19'), Frattesi (21'), Berardi (30'), Lauriente (47' pen.), Henrique (79')
Aug 30, 2022 5.30pm
May 22, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
0-3
AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
1-3
Sassuolo
Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')
Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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