MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 17:14:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Chorten Arena

Jagiellonia
vs.
Lech Poznan

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, March 8 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 28.19% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win is 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawLech Poznan
45.92% (-0.492 -0.49) 25.88% (0.295 0.3) 28.19% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.782 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.9% (-1.081 -1.08)52.1% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (-0.941 -0.94)73.82% (0.943 0.94)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.682 -0.68)22.65% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (-1.023 -1.02)56.29% (1.023 1.02)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)33.13% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (-0.464 -0.46)69.73% (0.46499999999999 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.92%
    Lech Poznan 28.19%
    Draw 25.88%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.318 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.29% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.092 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 28.19%

Who will win Sunday's Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia and Lech Poznan?

Jagiellonia Bialystok
Draw
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lech Poznan
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 8
Lech Poznan
5-0
Jagiellonia
Sousa (25'), Hotic (41'), Szymczak (81' pen.), Haliti (87' og.), Jagiello (90+3')
Milic (36')

Nene (42'), Haliti (79')
Dieguez (38')
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Jagiellonia
1-2
Lech Poznan
Marchwinski (18'), Szymczak (30' pen.)
Velde (14'), Pereira (90+7')
Oct 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lech Poznan
3-3
Jagiellonia
Ba Loua (2', 51'), Ishak (43')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')
Normann Hansen (54'), Skrzypczak (66'), Wdowik (90+6' pen.)
Romanczuk (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan24162646192750
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow24147334142049
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia24146445291648
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin25134841281343
5Legia WarsawLegia24117646321440
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik2512493629740
7KS CracoviaCracovia2510874439538
8Motor Lublin2510693544-936
9Katowice2596103331233
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice258982626033
11Korona Kielce258982431-733
12Radomiak Radom2594123439-531
13Widzew Lodz2586112839-1130
14Puszcza Niepolomice2567122435-1125
15Stal Mielec2565142638-1223
16Zaglebie Lubin2565142138-1723
17Lechia GdanskGdansk2556142644-1821
18Slask Wroclaw2539132539-1418


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