MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 04:16:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
5 - 0
Jagiellonia

Sousa (25'), Hotic (41'), Szymczak (81' pen.), Haliti (87' og.), Jagiello (90+3')
Milic (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nene (42'), Haliti (79')
Dieguez (38')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-2 Lech Poznan
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-0 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, September 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
57.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 21.96% (0.00099999999999767 0) 20.78% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.35% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83% (-0.07 -0.07)42.16% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (-0.07 -0.07)64.56% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)14.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)42.51% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)34.08% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)70.76% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 57.25%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 20.78%
    Draw 21.96%
Lech PoznanDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 20.78%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Jagiellonia
1-2
Lech Poznan
Marchwinski (18'), Szymczak (30' pen.)
Velde (14'), Pereira (90+7')
Oct 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lech Poznan
3-3
Jagiellonia
Ba Loua (2', 51'), Ishak (43')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')
Normann Hansen (54'), Skrzypczak (66'), Wdowik (90+6' pen.)
Romanczuk (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan16121332122037
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1610333023733
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow159421961331
4KS CracoviaCracovia169253527829
5Legia WarsawLegia1684431211028
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin168172420425
7Motor Lublin167362428-424
8Widzew Lodz156452019122
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik156361917221
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice155551817120
11Katowice165472424019
12Zaglebie Lubin165381523-818
13Radomiak Radom145181921-216
14Korona Kielce154471222-1016
15Stal Mielec154381419-515
16Puszcza Niepolomice152581325-1211
17Lechia GdanskGdansk162591731-1411
18Slask Wroclaw151771324-1110


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