Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan
Lech Poznan5 - 0Jagiellonia
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-2 Lech Poznan
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-0 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, September 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, September 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
57.25% ( 0.04) | 21.96% ( 0) | 20.78% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.83% ( -0.07) | 42.16% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( -0.07) | 64.56% ( 0.07) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.01) | 14.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.02) | 42.51% ( 0.02) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.08) | 34.08% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0.09) | 70.76% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Lech Poznan 57.25%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 20.78%
Draw 21.96%
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 57.25% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.78% |
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Jagiellonia
1-2
Lech Poznan
Oct 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lech Poznan
3-3
Jagiellonia
Ba Loua (2', 51'), Ishak (43')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')
Form Guide
