Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Jagiellonia2 - 4Cracovia
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and KS Cracovia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-1 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-2 Cracovia
Saturday, August 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, August 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | KS Cracovia |
59.33% ( -0.38) | 23.01% ( 0.33) | 17.67% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% ( -1.27) | 51.01% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -1.13) | 72.87% ( 1.13) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0.58) | 16.86% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.12% ( -1.04) | 46.88% ( 1.04) |
| KS Cracovia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.7) | 42.61% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.04% ( -0.61) | 78.96% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
Jagiellonia Bialystok 59.31%
KS Cracovia 17.67%
Draw 23.01%
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | KS Cracovia |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.82% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.67% |
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Form Guide
