MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 16:00:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
AZ Alkmaar

Ajax
vs.
AZ

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Ajax
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 AZ
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League

We say: Ajax 2-1 AZ Alkmaar

Given Ajax's impressive form, it is difficult to see them slipping up against an AZ side that have lost their last two away matches in all competitions. The hosts have been resolute at the back throughout their 10-game winning streak, while their attack has found its rhythm at just the right time, and that firepower could prove too much for an AZ defence that have shipped nine goals in their last four away outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 23.69% and a draw has a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.01%).

Result
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
54.32% (4.456 4.46) 21.99% (-0.926 -0.93) 23.69% (-3.531 -3.53)
Both teams to score 60.38% (-0.469 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (1.037 1.04)38.71% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (1.086 1.09)61.02% (-1.086 -1.09)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (1.876 1.88)14.27% (-1.877 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (3.536 3.54)42.06% (-3.538 -3.54)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-2.136 -2.14)29.56% (2.134 2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (-2.68 -2.68)65.58% (2.681 2.68)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 54.32%
    AZ Alkmaar 23.69%
    Draw 21.99%
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.22 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.138 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.633 0.63)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.535 0.54)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.714 0.71)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.439 0.44)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.486 0.49)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.168 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.236 0.24)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.239 0.24)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.657 -0.66)
0-1 @ 5.14% (-0.588 -0.59)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.573 -0.57)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.436 -0.44)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.326 -0.33)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 23.69%

Who will win Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ?

Ajax
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
82.4%
Draw
8.8%
AZ Alkmaar
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2025 5.45pm
Round of 16
AZ
2-0
Ajax
Goes (36'), Meerdink (89')
Koopmeiners (81')

Traore (77'), Baas (90+3')
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
2-1
Ajax
Parrott (65'), Lahdo (76')
Goes (46')
Godts (81')
Weghorst (36'), Sutalo (45+2')
Feb 25, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
2-0
Ajax
Van Bommel (7', 67')
Bazoer (55'), Goes (79')
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
Pavlidis (45'), De Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV26184478304858
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2614754639749
4Feyenoord25138454292547
5FC Twente26137652371546
6Go Ahead Eagles2613584740744
7AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
8Fortuna SittardSittard2695123243-1132
9Groningen2587102433-931
10Heerenveen2687113246-1431
11NECNijmegen2685133737029
12NAC BredaNAC Breda2685132844-1629
13Heracles26610103347-1428
14PEC Zwolle2668123041-1126
15Sparta RotterdamSparta26510112535-1025
16Willem II2666142842-1424
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2545163252-2017
18Almere CityAlmere City2636171650-3415


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