Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-2 AZ
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Sittard 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
29
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Fortuna Sittard
On the back of such an impressive win in midweek, it remains to be seen whether AZ can reproduce that level of performance. Nevertheless, we feel that they should still have enough in the tank to inflict more misery on Sittard, potentially through a late goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
69.34% ( 0.98) | 17.98% ( -0.47) | 12.67% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.97% ( 0.93) | 39.03% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.64% ( 0.97) | 61.35% ( -0.97) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.82% ( 0.5) | 10.18% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.57% ( 1.13) | 33.43% ( -1.13) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( -0.2) | 42.09% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.49% ( -0.16) | 78.51% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 69.34%
Fortuna Sittard 12.67%
Draw 17.98%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.57% Total : 69.34% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.98% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.44% Total : 12.67% |
How you voted: AZ vs Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
100%Draw
0.0%Fortuna Sittard
0.0%5
