MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:19:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Sittard
0 - 3
AZ

FT(HT: 0-2)
Odgaard (24'), Milos (42'), Pavlidis (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-1 AZ Alkmaar

Fortuna are a few more results away from Eredivisie safety this season, but face a tricky assignment on Sunday against an Alkmaar side who will be looking for a response after their Conference League defeat on Thursday. AZ will have one eye on that second leg with Anderlecht next week, but we believe they will focus enough to get the better of Sittard on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
19.6% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 21.58% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 58.81% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (0.113 0.11)42.1% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (0.113 0.11)64.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86% (0.075999999999993 0.08)14% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (0.147 0.15)41.52% (-0.144 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 19.6%
    AZ Alkmaar 58.81%
    Draw 21.58%
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.6%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.25% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.2% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.07% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.81%

How you voted: Sittard vs AZ

Fortuna Sittard
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
AZ Alkmaar
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.45pm
AZ
3-1
Sittard
De Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Vanheusden (41')
Yilmaz (11' pen.)
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')
May 8, 2021 7pm
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')

van Osch (27')
Sep 26, 2020 5.45pm
Sittard
3-3
AZ
Flemming (9', 90+6'), Hansson (79')
Rota (87'), Smeets (90+5')
De Wit (23'), Koopmeiners (52'), Boadu (69')
Hatzidiakos (37')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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