Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Sittard0 - 3AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-1 AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna are a few more results away from Eredivisie safety this season, but face a tricky assignment on Sunday against an Alkmaar side who will be looking for a response after their Conference League defeat on Thursday. AZ will have one eye on that second leg with Anderlecht next week, but we believe they will focus enough to get the better of Sittard on Sunday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
19.6% ( -0.07) | 21.58% ( -0.05) | 58.81% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( 0.11) | 42.1% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( 0.11) | 64.5% ( -0.11) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( -0.01) | 35.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.02% ( -0.01) | 71.97% ( 0.02) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86% ( 0.08) | 14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.15) | 41.52% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard 19.6%
AZ Alkmaar 58.81%
Draw 21.58%
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.6% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.81% |
How you voted: Sittard vs AZ
Fortuna Sittard
25.0%Draw
8.3%AZ Alkmaar
66.7%12
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.45pm
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
May 8, 2021 7pm
AZ
1-0
Sittard
van Osch (27')
Sep 26, 2020 5.45pm
