Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
0 - 3
AZ

FT(HT: 0-2)

Odgaard (24'), Milos (42'), Pavlidis (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-1 AZ Alkmaar

Fortuna are a few more results away from Eredivisie safety this season, but face a tricky assignment on Sunday against an Alkmaar side who will be looking for a response after their Conference League defeat on Thursday. AZ will have one eye on that second leg with Anderlecht next week, but we believe they will focus enough to get the better of Sittard on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
19.6% ( -0.07)	21.58% ( -0.05)	58.81% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 55.71% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9% (

0.11)

42.1% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.49% (

0.11)

64.5% (

-0.11)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78% (

-0.01)

35.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02% (

-0.01)

71.97% (

0.02)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86% (

0.08)

14% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.47% (

0.15)

41.52% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 19.6%

AZ Alkmaar 58.81%

Draw 21.58%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.6%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.81%