MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 09:26:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Sittard
0 - 3
AZ

FT(HT: 0-2)
Odgaard (24'), Milos (42'), Pavlidis (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, April 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fortuna Sittard 0-1 AZ Alkmaar

Fortuna are a few more results away from Eredivisie safety this season, but face a tricky assignment on Sunday against an Alkmaar side who will be looking for a response after their Conference League defeat on Thursday. AZ will have one eye on that second leg with Anderlecht next week, but we believe they will focus enough to get the better of Sittard on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
19.6% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 21.58% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 58.81% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (0.113 0.11)42.1% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (0.113 0.11)64.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86% (0.075999999999993 0.08)14% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (0.147 0.15)41.52% (-0.144 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 19.6%
    AZ Alkmaar 58.81%
    Draw 21.58%
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.6%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.25% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.2% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.07% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.81%

How you voted: Sittard vs AZ

Fortuna Sittard
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
AZ Alkmaar
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.45pm
AZ
3-1
Sittard
De Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Vanheusden (41')
Yilmaz (11' pen.)
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')
May 8, 2021 7pm
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')

van Osch (27')
Sep 26, 2020 5.45pm
Sittard
3-3
AZ
Flemming (9', 90+6'), Hansson (79')
Rota (87'), Smeets (90+5')
De Wit (23'), Koopmeiners (52'), Boadu (69')
Hatzidiakos (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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