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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
14.56% ( -0.29) | 18.56% ( 0.22) | 66.88% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.46% ( -1.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.78% ( -1.74) | 37.22% ( 1.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.57% ( -1.9) | 59.43% ( 1.91) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.82% ( -1.5) | 38.18% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.06% ( -1.47) | 74.94% ( 1.48) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.71% ( -0.46) | 10.29% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.31% ( -1.06) | 33.69% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.56% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.56% | 0-2 @ 10.15% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.57) 0-3 @ 7.7% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 4.22% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.16) 0-5 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.92% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.88% Total : 66.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 18 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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