Eredivisie | Gameweek 27

Apr 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
1 - 1
Heerenveen

Mous (75' og.)
Karlsson (41'), Clasie (52'), Reijnders (79'), van Brederode (90'), Mihailovic (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

van Hooijdonk (5')
Kaib (85'), Nunnely (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 AZ
Sunday, March 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Groningen 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 19 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Heerenveen

AZ and Heerenveen have had little problem finding the back of the net in recent weeks and we expect both teams to register at least once here. That said, AZ boast more quality all over the pitch and we are backing them to emerge triumphant in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
59.73% ( -1.25)	21.42% ( 0.13)	18.85% ( 1.12)

Both teams to score 54.93% (

1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.51% (

1.23)

42.49% (

-1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.1% (

1.22)

64.9% (

-1.22)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16% (

0.02)

13.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.78% (

0.03)

41.22% (

-0.03)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

1.98)

36.24% (

-1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

1.96)

73.03% (

-1.96)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 59.73%

Heerenveen 18.85%

Draw 21.41%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.53) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.06% Total : 59.73%	1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.41%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.85%