MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:28:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Excelsior

AZ
5 - 0
Excelsior

Mijnans (20', 30'), Karlsson (27'), Odgaard (35'), Pavlidis (38')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Azarkan (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Tuesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 SBV Excelsior

 Having now gone three games across all competitions without a victory, AZ will need to return to winning ways as soon as possible to avoid losing any more ground in the title race. We are tipping them to cruise to all three points at the sound of the final whistle here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawSBV Excelsior
74.7% (0.41699999999999 0.42) 15.57% (-0.252 -0.25) 9.73% (-0.1639 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.39% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (0.714 0.71)35.83% (-0.713 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.08% (0.781 0.78)57.91% (-0.78100000000001 -0.78)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (0.26100000000001 0.26)8.13% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.47% (0.652 0.65)28.52% (-0.652 -0.65)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.85% (0.163 0.16)45.14% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.95% (0.128 0.13)81.05% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 74.69%
    SBV Excelsior 9.73%
    Draw 15.57%
AZ AlkmaarDrawSBV Excelsior
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 9.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.69% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 6.07% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.83% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.05% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.42% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.046 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.27% (0.051 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.01% (0.046 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 74.69%
1-1 @ 7.32% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 15.57%
0-1 @ 2.92% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 9.73%

How you voted: AZ vs Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar
90.4%
Draw
5.8%
SBV Excelsior
3.8%
52
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 11.15am
Excelsior
2-1
AZ
Horemans (6'), Azarkan (31')
Sugawara (48')
Beukema (27')
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
Excelsior
4-2
AZ
Fortes (21'), Van Rhijn (51' og.), Bruins (60' pen.), Omarsson (66')
Mattheij (41')
Koopmeiners (30'), Johnsen (70')
Gudmundsson (59')
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
AZ
2-1
Excelsior
Til (39'), Johnsen (94')
Ouwejan (57')
Mahmudov (30')
Fortes (75')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
AZ
Messaoud (64')
Koolwijk (34'), Bruins (70')
Zwarthoed (19' og.), Jahanbakhsh (44')
Svensson (75')
Sep 24, 2017 3.45pm
AZ
0-2
Excelsior

Vlaar (8')
Bruins (2' pen., 8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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